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Just a quick update on this, remarkably two weeks after we have announced that we have done away with all restrictions we have managed to stop the fall in hospital numbers in England. For the 1st week in 7 we have plateaued as a country with some regions seeing an increase (South West (15%) and East of England (6%)) with others still seeing a fall (notably London 8% and the Midlands and North West both seeing 4%) with the overall country seeing a net reduction of 95 patients leaving us with 8.4k still in hospital across England.
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I'm sure you've probably mentioned this before, but how many people would we normally expect to be in hospital at this time of year with a respiratory problem?
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I'd have to look it up Proth but the main period for that is January / February so we should be heading out of that now and as a minimum we should be seeing numbers falling. This is the 1st week we have seen the numbers growing week on week since January. We've now got over 9k in hospital again which is 8% up on last week and about 15% higher than the same date last year - the added problem there is that last year it was falling, we've managed to turn it around to rising again after nearly 3 months of falls.
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(03-08-2022, 05:36 PM)baggy1 Wrote: I'd have to look it up Proth but the main period for that is January / February so we should be heading out of that now and as a minimum we should be seeing numbers falling. This is the 1st week we have seen the numbers growing week on week since January. We've now got over 9k in hospital again which is 8% up on last week and about 15% higher than the same date last year - the added problem there is that last year it was falling, we've managed to turn it around to rising again after nearly 3 months of falls.
I would guess that some rise was expected. I suppose the $64,000 question is how much and for how long? Better weather is coming, people will start to spend more time outdoors, and "community immunity" will be increasing. I know loads of people who have gone down with Covid in the last week, all with "heavy cold" symptoms.
Boris gambled and got lucky at Christmas (and he had very little other choice with the backbenchers out for him). Will this roll of the dice work as well as the last one??
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Scotland seem to be having it worse than anywhere else in the UK at present and j believe they're the only ones with restrictions still in place aren't they?
Almost a moot point now as there is absolutely zero chance of anything being done at this stage.
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In % increases they look worse Ted, but they have gone from getting the numbers down just around 850 about 3 weeks ago to just under 1,500 yesterday, so much smaller numbers.
England got the numbers down to 8,200 a few days ago and we're starting to see in increase, hopefully short-lived, again. I just wish we'd have given it a few more weeks until we'd got it right down but we are where we are now.
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With depressing predictability we are now seeing increases in hospitalisations in every region again ranging from 5% in the Midlands to 18 and 19% in the South West and South East regions. Hopefully the move into the milder weather will help ease this and it may be because of more people mixing (at work and socially) and this might be a blip. Just under 10k in hospital now again, next few weeks will be interesting.
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(03-13-2022, 01:34 PM)baggy1 Wrote: With depressing predictability we are now seeing increases in hospitalisations in every region again ranging from 5% in the Midlands to 18 and 19% in the South West and South East regions. Hopefully the move into the milder weather will help ease this and it may be because of more people mixing (at work and socially) and this might be a blip. Just under 10k in hospital now again, next few weeks will be interesting.
I think the difference now is it's absolutely rampant. I've known more people (including all my family) catch it in the past 2 weeks, than throughout all of the pandemic. You know far more about it than me, B1, but I'm hoping this is just a numbers game now, with a much milder variant/good immunity levels.
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03-14-2022, 06:45 AM
(This post was last modified: 03-14-2022, 07:19 AM by Ted Maul.)
I'd say there is some truth in what you say KKC
I tested positive this week. Did a routine test that we do before going to see grandparents and it lit up positive, If I'd have not tested I wouldn't have thought to as I've had absolutely zero symptoms before or since.
That said, the removal of any sort of mask wearing or period of isolation seems bonkers.
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"Britain’s death toll during the pandemic was below average for western Europe, an international comparison has concluded.
Although recorded numbers who died of Covid are higher in Britain than in countries such as France and Germany, the gap vanishes when looking at excess deaths. Sir Chris Whitty, the chief medical officer for England, favoured using this broader measure, which tracks how many more people have died than average, as a better way of making comparisons."
Interesting from the Sunday Times, yesterday.
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