12-16-2021, 02:44 PM
As there is focus on London I've looked at the hospitalisation figures for the NHS Region of London (I'm not certain where that covers specifically and if it matches what is being reported on but it can't be far off).
Much like the wider England picture that I have been measuring, since the start of August figures have been pretty static. 1,029 on the 30th July rising to 1,225 at the end of September and steadily downwards until the 22nd October. Then a couple of weeks of growth followed by 5 static weeks up until the 3rd December. Since then week on week growth was 12% to the 10th and so far to the 15th (actual week on week increase from the 8th) is 20%.
So definitely a higher growth than we have been having but I would have built in a growth at this time of year anyway as we are now into the winter months. If that gets translated to the whole of England and we are looking at 20% growth then we will hit that 15k mark in mid to late January.
Much like the wider England picture that I have been measuring, since the start of August figures have been pretty static. 1,029 on the 30th July rising to 1,225 at the end of September and steadily downwards until the 22nd October. Then a couple of weeks of growth followed by 5 static weeks up until the 3rd December. Since then week on week growth was 12% to the 10th and so far to the 15th (actual week on week increase from the 8th) is 20%.
So definitely a higher growth than we have been having but I would have built in a growth at this time of year anyway as we are now into the winter months. If that gets translated to the whole of England and we are looking at 20% growth then we will hit that 15k mark in mid to late January.