(06-17-2021, 07:38 AM)baggy1 Wrote: 16th Sept - 929
23rd Sept - 1,439 (1.55 x previous week)
30th Sept - 2,036 (1.41 x pw)
7th Oct - 3,066 (1.51 x pw)
14th Oct - 4,313 (1.41 x pw)
21st Oct - 6,271 (1.45 x pw)
28th Oct - 9,070 (1.45 x pw)
4th Nov - 11,037 (1.22 x pw)
11th Nov - 12,730 (1.15 x pw)
18th Nov - 14,490 (1.14 x pw)
25th Nov - 14,240 (0.98 x pw)
2nd Dec - 13,212 (0.93 x pw)
9th Dec - 13,467 (1.02 x pw)
16th Dec - 15,465 (1.15 x pw)
23rd Dec - 17,834 (1.15 x pw)
30th Dec - 22,713 (1.27 x pw)
6th Jan - 27,727 (1.22 x pw)
13th Jan - 32,689 (1.18 x pw)
20th Jan - 33,886 (1.04 x pw)
27th Jan - 30,846 (0.91 x pw)
3rd Feb - 26,374 (0.86 x pw)
10th Feb - 20,926 (0.79 x pw)
17th Feb - 16,458 (0.79 x pw)
24th Feb - 13,007 (0.79 x pw)
3rd Mar - 9,594 (0.74 x pw)
10th Mar - 6,945 (0.73 x pw)
17th Mar - 5,397 (0.77 x pw)
24th Mar - 4,005 (0.74 x pw)
31st Mar - 3,084 (0.77 x pw)
7th April - 2,486 (0.81 x pw)
14th April - 1,972 (0.79 x pw)
21st April - 1,609 (0.82 x pw)
28th April - 1,278 (0.79 x pw)
5th May - 1032 (0.81 x pw)
12th May - 907 (0.88 x pw)
19th May - 757 (0.83 x pw)
26th May - 745 (0.98 x pw)
2nd June - 801 (1.08 x pw)
9th June - 876 (1.09 x pw)
16th June - 1057 (1.21 x pw)
23rd June - 1255 (1.19 x pw)
Another week and another increase of about 20%, having said that there are signs in there that it isn't the rampant increasing that we have had in the past waves. There are pockets within the week where it stabilises or decreases. Also the rate of increase gives us plenty of time to monitor and adjust, we reached the lowest number in hospital about a month ago and we haven't quite doubled that number in that month, which means that following a similar pattern we will have less than 3k in hospital by the end of July. A manageable number for the NHS and also a period where we have the luxury of monitoring the numbers and see if it is a trend or a blip.
Vaccinations are the key point that we need to keep getting rolled out with over 80% having had one jab and over 60% having had both. Seeing the uptake amongst the younger generation has been impressive and although we won't get 100% of under 30s steeping forward, I wouldn't be surprised to see 75% of them now. Two months ago I would have guessed at 50% uptake.
We do need to be careful as the numbers are going up in hospital and on ventilators but overall we have small numbers being reported for both and deaths appear to be zero. Not quite job done but definitely positive news and nearly at the end of the road for the UK. Also glad to see that the government / NHS are planning for booster jabs to be rolled out instead of sitting back and enjoying the accolades.