03-12-2021, 09:41 AM
(03-12-2021, 08:56 AM)baggy1 Wrote:(03-11-2021, 10:18 PM)Baggie_Nick Wrote: I'll believe there's a light at the end of the tunnel if in three week's time the hospitalisations and deaths are still on the downward turn.
I agree but also I think we need to be realistic and accept that the reductions may not continue at the same pace and even that they may level out, but with the numbers in hospital now manageable that will be ok. The big difference this time is the vaccine.
With the combined and counter-balancing effects of education reopening and vaccination rollout, I'm thinking this might be the first time we see an uptick in the infection rate - simply as a consequence of the in-schools testing régime - which isn't followed by a proportionate rise in mortalities. It will be just about time for the Easter schools recess - conveniently two weeks - when we begin to see if that is turning out to be the case.
It's not a scientific analysis, more of a fingers crossed.