UK Covid death toll

[baggy1]

Great statting again Baggy1. A couple of queries though....

When such a large percentage of hospitalisations are for the over 50s, should it really matter if a lot of youngsters choose not to have the vaccine? (which I think will happen). The vaccination rates in the older generations are very high. I got my stat from here on hospitalisations by age, you're probably aware of this though.

https://www.ons.gov.uk/visualisations/dv...nload.xlsx

And vaccinated people can still get covid and bring back variants anyway, and pass them on to people (especially if they're travelling abroad in the hundreds of thousands, the vaccine isn't 100% effective so there will still be some transmission even amongst the vaccinated). The Greek tourism minister has, I believe, confirmed a vaccine or a negative test will be fine to travel there.

I think it does matter for two reasons, one of the benefits of vaccination will be in the reduced transmission so if half the population doesn't get vaccinated then we only reduce transmission by half, i don't think that will be enough. And under 50s have been protected to a degree by the lockdown as well so if we just open up then there will be a fair number of under 50s requiring hospital treatment potentially, which again puts strain on the system. The figures you link (thanks btw) are in a period where we are locked down and still has 3.3k in hospital from the under 45s (under 45s in the UK is roughly 37.4M, divide that by 100k and times by 9), if we increase transmission by opening up that number will go up I would imagine.

And agreed, which is why I am concerned about allowing international travel this year until the rest of the world has caught up with us to a greater degree.