UK Covid death toll

[HawkingsHalfpint]

Sorry. Can’t resist. 

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Taking the figures and updating them with this weeks figures from the govt slides today

16th Sept - 894
23rd Sept - 1,381 (1.54 x previous week)
30th Sept - 1,995 (1.44 x pw)
7th Oct - 2,944 (1.47 x pw)
14th Oct - 4,156 (1.41 x pw)
21st Oct - 6,018 (1.44 x pw)
28th Oct - 8,535 (1.42 x pw)
4th Oct - 10,344 (1.21 x pw)

Positive news in that the growth rate has reduced to 1.2 when it has been running at 1.4 for so long which if extrapolated would be

11th November - 12,412
18th November - 14,895
25th November - 17,874 (this will be three weeks after lockdown and the peak in April was 17,172 on the 12th April which was 3 weeks after lockdown)
2nd December  - declining figures after lockdown follow a slower rate than the increase before the peak.

Effectively putting the lockdown in place this week means that, if we follow the same pattern as the 1st wave, then we will have hospitalisations peak at about the same as April, but there does appear to be a better survival rate this time.

Those on ventilators are 1,081

Fucking hell, it’s hard enough to breathe in those things anyway, let alone with some cunt standing on it at the time. I bet it’s those ruddy students.