11-07-2020, 04:58 PM
baggiebuckster Wrote:The real issue is how many people are still susceptible to Covid. According to SAGE this is around 90% of the population thereby ensuring their figures of doom. Other scientists believe that around 30% of the population are susceptible therefore painting a totally different threat level. Yes - there have been 61000 excess deaths of which 90% of those were prior to May. Since then the averages have levelled off. So should we be looking at 2020 as a whole or looking at the 2nd half of the year for an idea of what future months hold in store. Bit like Albion last season - loads of points in the first half of the season and mid table form in the second half.
Good point. Even assuming these are the extreme positions, let's go in between. that would be just over half the population possibly susceptible. That would be hugely encouraging (IMO). As an aside, and without underestimating the effects of a terrible illness (I know people hospitalised and friend's parents that died), I'm not hearing of anything like the horror stories I heard back in April. In fact, I have only heard of one case among our families contacts, this time around. Of course, many are sheltering AND we are all washing more frequently and wearing etc.