10-27-2020, 03:24 PM
This is interesting:
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/gover...2020-09-25
No correlation, in t his dataset, between a country's lockdown stringency and its mortality impact.
I've only sense checked it but I know Argentina and Israel were hard lockers and Belarus and Sweden as we know less so.
I'm not denying Covid. That would be like denying flu. It's happening because it's flu season.
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/gover...2020-09-25
No correlation, in t his dataset, between a country's lockdown stringency and its mortality impact.
I've only sense checked it but I know Argentina and Israel were hard lockers and Belarus and Sweden as we know less so.
(10-27-2020, 01:15 PM)baggy1 Wrote: This gets circular as an argument and I would say that there will be a potential for both of those to be included in excess deaths - again why I try to stick to the excess deaths figure because without Covid those excess deaths wouldn't have occurred (directly or indirectly). And we've discussed this before and I still haven't seen any argument against locking down in March, it was needed otherwise the 1st wave would have kept increasing - the deaths only started falling 3 weeks after lockdown.
It's too early to say if the 2nd wave is because of covid deaths but it does appear to be happening, whatever the reason - denying covid won't make one ounce of difference to that fact. We just have to wait and see how much of an impact it will have.
And I have never quoted the figures of covid deaths in anything I have posted btw.
I'm not denying Covid. That would be like denying flu. It's happening because it's flu season.
