It's The Ashes (again)
I can't call this. I really can't. I think we just about go into tomorrow as favourites. But it's tight. It can go either way.

All I know is that England will be kicking themselves massively if they don't win. We've had so many chances (dropped catches, wickets off no balls, missed-stumpings) to get on top. But it's made for a great game.

Some spell from Broad, that.
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(06-19-2023, 06:08 PM)SuperBob2002 Wrote: I can't call this. I really can't. I think we just about go into tomorrow as favourites. But it's tight. It can go either way.

All I know is that England will be kicking themselves massively if they don't win. We've had so many chances (dropped catches, wickets off no balls, missed-stumpings) to get on top. But it's made for a great game.

Some spell from Broad, that.

Paddy Power make us slight favourites at 10/11, with Australia 11/10 and 14/1 the draw.  Sounds about right to me.
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England clear favourites.. Aussies are bricking it. Poor shot from Smith .. pivotal moment.

So much for the critics of the "early" declaration. We have a magnificent game on our hands.
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What a match this is. Betfair exchange odds give the current expected win percentages:
England 48%
Australia 43%
Draw 9%

Hopefully there’ll be a decent bit of cloud cover after the morning’s rain.
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(06-19-2023, 06:25 PM)Pragmatist Wrote:
(06-19-2023, 06:08 PM)SuperBob2002 Wrote: I can't call this. I really can't. I think we just about go into tomorrow as favourites. But it's tight. It can go either way.

All I know is that England will be kicking themselves massively if they don't win. We've had so many chances (dropped catches, wickets off no balls, missed-stumpings) to get on top. But it's made for a great game.

Some spell from Broad, that.

Paddy Power make us slight favourites at 10/11, with Australia 11/10 and 14/1 the draw.  Sounds about right to me.

I think the draw is worth a cheeky tenna. It's obviously long odds for a reason - there should be a winner, but met office forecast tells me the morning session will probably be rained off, with rain easing off between 12:00 and 13;00. I'm not sure what that means over wise, but assuming that leaves 60 overs remaining across 2 sessions Australia RRR would be 3. There could be a scenario where we take an early wicket or two, and they just end up blocking it out, and it could lead to a tense draw. 

So many permutations. It's exciting.
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(06-19-2023, 06:48 PM)SuperBob2002 Wrote:
(06-19-2023, 06:25 PM)Pragmatist Wrote:
(06-19-2023, 06:08 PM)SuperBob2002 Wrote: I can't call this. I really can't. I think we just about go into tomorrow as favourites. But it's tight. It can go either way.

All I know is that England will be kicking themselves massively if they don't win. We've had so many chances (dropped catches, wickets off no balls, missed-stumpings) to get on top. But it's made for a great game.

Some spell from Broad, that.

Paddy Power make us slight favourites at 10/11, with Australia 11/10 and 14/1 the draw.  Sounds about right to me.

I think the draw is worth a cheeky tenna. It's obviously long odds for a reason - there should be a winner, but met office forecast tells me the morning session will probably be rained off, with rain easing off between 12:00 and 13;00. I'm not sure what that means over wise, but assuming that leaves 60 overs remaining across 2 sessions Australia RRR would be 3. There could be a scenario where we take an early wicket or two, and they just end up blocking it out, and it could lead to a tense draw. 

So many permutations. It's exciting.

Well, three anyway.
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Chance of 4 tbf
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(06-19-2023, 06:29 PM)rsbaggy2 Wrote: England clear favourites.. Aussies are bricking it. Poor shot from Smith .. pivotal moment.

So much for the critics of the "early" declaration. We have a magnificent game on our hands.

Tbf an extra few runs from not declaring and England would be in an even stronger position.
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England winning with plenty of runs to spare
England winning with late wicket drama with Aus needing a handful of runs to win.
Aus winning with plenty of runs to spare.
Aus winning with 1 wicket remaining.
Aus blocking out for a draw.
Wash out.

All the above could happen.
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Or a tie.

We (almost) all want England to win, but without sounding too corny, the biggest winner is the boost a game like this gives to red ball cricket.

We have probably 2 sessions left, 60-75 overs with an extension, and every result genuinely possible.

Gutted I can’t make another day of it at Edgbaston.
Trump is a Cunt
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