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UK Covid death toll - Printable Version +- WBAUnofficial (https://wbaunofficial.org.uk) +-- Forum: WBAUnofficial (https://wbaunofficial.org.uk/forumdisplay.php?fid=3) +--- Forum: Politics (https://wbaunofficial.org.uk/forumdisplay.php?fid=5) +--- Thread: UK Covid death toll (/showthread.php?tid=10162) Pages:
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RE: UK Covid death toll - baggy1 - 11-10-2020 The week 44 figures for the week ended 30th October are out and this was a key week based on the trajectory pattern from the 1st wave. The good news is that the excess deaths haven't increased in the same way that they did in March / April, however the bad news is that again we have shown excess deaths for that week (1k vs the 5 year average and 723 vs 2019). Also it appears that the increase in those in hospital has slowed, it's still increasing but not as much as it has been (i'll update that later in the week). For England and Wales the excess deaths for the year has now increased to over 63k against 2019 and over 57k against the 5YA and these are significant numbers because during the summer months they dipped slightly from a peak of 63k and 54k at the end of May / start of June slightly down to about 61k and 52k. Both of those figures are now increasing again and have passed the excess death figure peak earlier in the year. Overall for the year we are at about 113% of normal deaths and unfortunately we will pass the total number of deaths in 2019 in the next two weeks. Very positive news on the vaccine and a light at the end of the tunnel, we just need to ensure we don't think that this os over for a few more months as we head into the flu season. Stay safe folks. RE: UK Covid death toll - Derek Hardballs - 11-10-2020 (11-10-2020, 07:38 AM)billybassett Wrote:(11-09-2020, 07:52 PM)Ted Maul Wrote:(11-09-2020, 07:37 PM)billybassett Wrote: Happy with my conscience and will keep striving to help people understand actually what's going on. I will keep doing it for my kids and my kids kids. What's a foot is corruption and fraud on a massive scale. Quote:Derek Hardballs Wrote: Wrote:(10-09-2020, 12:05 PM)billybassett Wrote: Wrote:(10-09-2020, 11:43 AM)Derek Hardballs Wrote: Wrote:(10-09-2020, 09:02 AM)billybassett Wrote: Wrote:(10-09-2020, 07:46 AM)JOK Wrote: Wrote:So, you want and are happy for the elderly to pay with their lives for something the younger ones in the community are , mostly, perpetuating. RE: UK Covid death toll - billybassett - 11-10-2020 Point Dekka? 12,949 Covid Hospital patients 128,051 non Covid Hospital patients The health service overrun - is it? - if it is it's because of treatment of illnesses left to lay fallow for 8 months because Covid is supposedly the only thing you can die of. My wife's breast screening has been cancelled again along with a million other women - say BreastCancer org - who also have not had screenings. Screening 200 women sees 1 women's life saved (as per NHS data). I'm not going to go hyperbolic here because that would be silly but that's 5000 lives potentially. That's one well known, well screened illness. Wait till we get the cardiac and cancer deaths stacking up because of missed appointments. And yet I'm not supposed to mention proportionality or cost benefits of a lockdown because some already vulnerable people may die. RE: UK Covid death toll - The liquidator - 11-10-2020 Is this shit still going RE: UK Covid death toll - baggiebuckster - 11-10-2020 (11-10-2020, 01:37 PM)The liquidator Wrote: Is this shit still going Yeah. Didn't you see the news? Got a vaccine for it soon RE: UK Covid death toll - baggy1 - 11-10-2020 The point you keep missing billy is that if we get increased numbers in hospital because of covid they don't have capacity to do other treatments. The numbers in hospital are increasing and if we didn't lockdown or if we removed restrictions then they would fill up more. It isn't just the over 65s in hospital, they are just the ones that pay the ultimate price. RE: UK Covid death toll - Derek Hardballs - 11-10-2020 (11-10-2020, 11:15 AM)billybassett Wrote: Point Dekka? (11-10-2020, 01:42 PM)baggy1 Wrote: The point you keep missing billy is that if we get increased numbers in hospital because of covid they don't have capacity to do other treatments. The numbers in hospital are increasing and if we didn't lockdown or if we removed restrictions then they would fill up more. It isn't just the over 65s in hospital, they are just the ones that pay the ultimate price. He doesn’t miss it he ignores the you’re making. He also ignores the point not everyone who is vulnerable is old and lives by themselves. Many are disabled, are recovering from serious illness of all ages and will be living with siblings, parents and carers who have to go to work, school, shops etc. The idea they can shield given these circumstances is nonsense over a prolonged period. He also ignores the point that those shielding have jobs, families to support and their own physical and mental health problems just like everyone else. It seems by this logic he wants them be the sacrificial lamb so that everyone else’s economic, social and health problems can be prioritised. RE: UK Covid death toll - billybassett - 11-10-2020 (11-10-2020, 03:10 PM)Derek Hardballs Wrote:(11-10-2020, 11:15 AM)billybassett Wrote: Point Dekka? Not sure you can speak for me Deko. I understand it fully. What I don't see at this time is any capacity issues for treating anyone. Before lockdown 2 the only capacity issues the hospitals had were because of missing staff because of the faulty PCR test. Admissions were rising exactly like they do every year and why in a badish flu season in 2018 people were in corridors. What I didn't hear about then were operations / screenings being cancelled and the country in lockdown. This para: "Many are disabled, are recovering from serious illness of all ages and will be living with siblings, parents and carers who have to go to work, school, shops etc. The idea they can shield given these circumstances is nonsense over a prolonged period. He also ignores the point that those shielding have jobs, families to support and their own physical and mental health problems just like everyone else. It seems by this logic he wants them be the sacrificial lamb so that everyone else’s economic, social and health problems can be prioritised." This describes EVERY year where there are any one of 4 (now 5) respiratory illnesses in circulation. For those people you mention it could kill them as easily as Covid. Yet in EVERY other year they take precautions, as do their families and clinics they attend, but the rest of the population 10s of millions go about living their lives, paying taxes, creating joy and wealth so those people can enjoy the NHS services. And if you're going to tell me Covid is much more deadly please do your reading. It's not. The point you are missing is that for some reason you're locked into the notion that this is a lethal virus. It's not. My last point made is that cardiac illnesses, cancer etc are way more deadly. Hence why at the moment the majority 90%+ of excess deaths are at home - so not covid as they go to hospital. And like I've said to baggy1 before nobody has yet shown me any real evidence that all the excess deaths to date were "of" covid. Lots were, it was tragic. But now your approach is akin to manslaughter of the healthy population. Grim reading at the moment is the nr of excess deaths of under 20s - all obviously non-covid. Shocking. RE: UK Covid death toll - billybassett - 11-11-2020 Back to some numbers. The Liverpool mass testing madness to find the virus actually has some expected results. 0.7% positive rate (162 from 23170). So even if you took the false positive rate for this PCR test to be 0.7%, which would be unheard of (too low) for actual gold standard multi primer, low cycle tests, then we can safely say they have currently proved on this sample there is no covid in Liverpool. Of course there will be but it's not an epidemic and certainly not worthy of shutting the city for.... RE: UK Covid death toll - baggy1 - 11-11-2020 When you say expected results, what does that mean? Are these results of tests carried out so far? And you didn't let me know when you thought there was a worse year (or even comparable) for flu deaths. Is there a particular year that I should look at? |