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+--- Thread: UK Covid death toll (/showthread.php?tid=10162)
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RE: UK Covid death toll - MancBaggie - 02-11-2021
(02-11-2021, 03:56 PM)backsidebaggie Wrote:(02-10-2021, 06:57 PM)richbaggie Wrote:(02-10-2021, 06:49 PM)Wayne The Baggie Wrote:There are a few that could and should be.(02-10-2021, 06:44 PM)richbaggie Wrote:(02-10-2021, 06:23 PM)Kit Kat Chunky Wrote: Not only that Rich, but seasonality will mean that numbers are low. If you tell everyone to stay at home, when you have infections of less than 1000, then you can see a mass revolt. We didn't have riots last summer, but if lockdown isn't lifted then you can see a great undercurrent of discontent (not that I would condone public unrest).
Yep, for sure. The breaking point is close for a lot of people and that could easily lead to it lighting a fuse.
Bojo to set out 'the road map out of lockdown' on February 22nd. Can't see many restrictions being lifted if I'm honest.
Golf for one!
+ 10000!!
+1,000,000
RE: UK Covid death toll - Kit Kat Chunky - 02-14-2021
(02-11-2021, 09:28 PM)LIMABAGGIE Wrote: Hope Prince Harry will be staying in a £175 a night Hotel and forced to do 10 days quarantine when he comes back for Grannies Birthday.......Fat fucking chance.
Put the cunt in the Tower for treason.
RE: UK Covid death toll - Borin' Baggie - 02-15-2021
(02-14-2021, 08:56 PM)Kit Kat Chunky Wrote:(02-11-2021, 09:28 PM)LIMABAGGIE Wrote: Hope Prince Harry will be staying in a £175 a night Hotel and forced to do 10 days quarantine when he comes back for Grannies Birthday.......Fat fucking chance.
Put the cunt in the Tower for treason.
Start with the Home Secretary first seeing as she actually betrayed the country.
RE: UK Covid death toll - Protheroe - 02-15-2021
I was on a call with BB Healthcare Investment Trust this morning. They're very bearish on things 'opening up' on any scale within the next 4-5 months due to the continuing ability of the virus to be transmitted by those already vaccinated. They projected boosters for varitants in the Autumn and another Winter of masks in shops.
Great.
RE: UK Covid death toll - baggy1 - 02-16-2021
(02-15-2021, 12:43 PM)Protheroe Wrote: I was on a call with BB Healthcare Investment Trust this morning. They're very bearish on things 'opening up' on any scale within the next 4-5 months due to the continuing ability of the virus to be transmitted by those already vaccinated. They projected boosters for varitants in the Autumn and another Winter of masks in shops.
Great.
I would have imagined that is what everyone expected with the knowledge at this point, there will be an annual booster programme and short term mask wearing is something that isn't really a surprise. I would imagine that local lockdowns when cases appear would also be a possiblity, but if it allows us wider freedoms then it really is a small imposition.
Having just seen the Week 5 data for deaths in E&W which is again nearly 45% higher than the average for this time of year, added to the 1st 5 weeks of the year adding nearly 26k deaths to the average and nearly 20k more than the worst individual weeks combined for the last decade, then it really is about time people realised this is probably something that we need to take seriously.
17,192 people died in E&W in the week to the 5th Feb which is well above the average as shown above. The total for the 46 weeks that we have seen covid impacting on death figures in E&W is now 106k more than the 5 year average. Comparitively with the death rate based on population we are running at the same level as rates from the 90s and there are a number of adjustments still to make with that figure that only look like making it worse than that. And it must be remembered that the figures we have are with measures to restrict spread and therefore death in place.
There are definitely some good signs out there though, the numbers in hospital in England dropped below the peak of the 1st wave this weekend and they appear to be dropping at a slightly faster rate than the 1st wave. Also over 15M people have received their 1st dose of the vaccine which means that the equivalent of everybody over 60 will have received that by the end of this week.
RE: UK Covid death toll - Protheroe - 02-16-2021
I'm also delighted to hear this morning that the exceptionally divisive idea of Vaccine Passports has been rejected. There are very few things I'd polish my pitchfork for these days, but that's one of them.
Roll on the vaccine roll out.
RE: UK Covid death toll - baggy1 - 02-16-2021
(02-16-2021, 11:33 AM)Protheroe Wrote: I'm also delighted to hear this morning that the exceptionally divisive idea of Vaccine Passports has been rejected. There are very few things I'd polish my pitchfork for these days, but that's one of them.
Roll on the vaccine roll out.
I don't think it was ever a 'thing', just some notion put forward at some point that got the readers of certain publications clicking and frothing.
RE: UK Covid death toll - baggy1 - 02-18-2021
(01-15-2021, 08:51 AM)baggy1 Wrote: 16th Sept - 929
23rd Sept - 1,439 (1.55 x previous week)
30th Sept - 2,036 (1.41 x pw)
7th Oct - 3,066 (1.51 x pw)
14th Oct - 4,313 (1.41 x pw)
21st Oct - 6,271 (1.45 x pw)
28th Oct - 9,070 (1.45 x pw)
4th Nov - 11,037 (1.22 x pw)
11th Nov - 12,730 (1.15 x pw)
18th Nov - 14,490 (1.14 x pw)
25th Nov - 14,240 (0.98 x pw)
2nd Dec - 13,212 (0.93 x pw)
9th Dec - 13,467 (1.02 x pw)
16th Dec - 15,465 (1.15 x pw)
23rd Dec - 17,834 (1.15 x pw)
30th Dec - 22,713 (1.27 x pw)
6th Jan - 27,727 (1.22 x pw)
13th Jan - 32,689 (1.18 x pw)
20th Jan - 33,886 (1.04 x pw)
27th Jan - 30,846 (0.91 x pw)
3rd Feb - 26,374 (0.86 x pw)
10th Feb - 20,926 (0.79 x pw)
17th Feb - 16,458 (0.79 x pw)
Almost uncannily predictable figures showing another drop by 20% in hospitalisation in England, it does give us a good way of predicting where we will be at the key upcoming dates. Mar 8th should be around 9k in hospital, end of April for the Steve Bakers of the world should see around 2k and we'll get below 1k in mid May.
Vaccinations are ploughing forward with 16.4M as of yesterday which is the equivalent of everyone over 60 having had the 1st dose administered. My only concern is fitting in the 2nd dose with the big push to get everyone done. For those of you who have had the 1st dose do you get told when the 2nd one is?
Positive news
RE: UK Covid death toll - strawman - 02-18-2021
(02-18-2021, 05:44 PM)baggy1 Wrote:(01-15-2021, 08:51 AM)baggy1 Wrote: 16th Sept - 929
23rd Sept - 1,439 (1.55 x previous week)
30th Sept - 2,036 (1.41 x pw)
7th Oct - 3,066 (1.51 x pw)
14th Oct - 4,313 (1.41 x pw)
21st Oct - 6,271 (1.45 x pw)
28th Oct - 9,070 (1.45 x pw)
4th Nov - 11,037 (1.22 x pw)
11th Nov - 12,730 (1.15 x pw)
18th Nov - 14,490 (1.14 x pw)
25th Nov - 14,240 (0.98 x pw)
2nd Dec - 13,212 (0.93 x pw)
9th Dec - 13,467 (1.02 x pw)
16th Dec - 15,465 (1.15 x pw)
23rd Dec - 17,834 (1.15 x pw)
30th Dec - 22,713 (1.27 x pw)
6th Jan - 27,727 (1.22 x pw)
13th Jan - 32,689 (1.18 x pw)
20th Jan - 33,886 (1.04 x pw)
27th Jan - 30,846 (0.91 x pw)
3rd Feb - 26,374 (0.86 x pw)
10th Feb - 20,926 (0.79 x pw)
17th Feb - 16,458 (0.79 x pw)
Almost uncannily predictable figures showing another drop by 20% in hospitalisation in England, it does give us a good way of predicting where we will be at the key upcoming dates. Mar 8th should be around 9k in hospital, end of April for the Steve Bakers of the world should see around 2k and we'll get below 1k in mid May.
Vaccinations are ploughing forward with 16.4M as of yesterday which is the equivalent of everyone over 60 having had the 1st dose administered. My only concern is fitting in the 2nd dose with the big push to get everyone done. For those of you who have had the 1st dose do you get told when the 2nd one is?
Positive news
Seems to be a variance - mine was booked by my GP practice and I was told they will ring me within 12 weeks with the second appointment. Others seem to have already been given both appointments.
RE: UK Covid death toll - baggy1 - 02-18-2021
This is where I've got my concerns sm - if some surgeries stretch it to the 12 weeks then there is no room for error and then does that person have to be done again. It doesn't seem as organised as it should be.