04242024, 08:17 PM
And if we don’t go up scenario

04242024, 08:23 PM
Let me explain again. There are four possible teams that can get promoted, true. However, Albion only have to play against 2 teams not 3. So we will be 1 of 3.
04242024, 08:27 PM
(04242024, 08:23 PM)HugeHons Wrote: Let me explain again. There are four possible teams that can get promoted, true. However, Albion only have to play against 2 teams not 3. So we will be 1 of 3. I see what you’re saying but that isn’t how probability works. You look at all possible outcomes, of which there are four. It’s like saying in a 32 team World Cup you have to play seven games to win it so your chances are 1 in 7.
04242024, 08:37 PM
(04242024, 08:27 PM)Duffers Wrote:(04242024, 08:23 PM)HugeHons Wrote: Let me explain again. There are four possible teams that can get promoted, true. However, Albion only have to play against 2 teams not 3. So we will be 1 of 3. Yes. It’s a simplistic way of looking at it from Albion’s situation.
04242024, 08:58 PM
Back to the original thread, chuffed we are in this position, I certainly thought we'd ship out more players, go into administration, and be fighting the drop.
04242024, 10:07 PM
Superb stuff this.
The chances are 100% if we win it and 0% if we don’t.
Someone could have been killed
04242024, 10:23 PM
(04242024, 08:37 PM)HugeHons Wrote:(04242024, 08:27 PM)Duffers Wrote:(04242024, 08:23 PM)HugeHons Wrote: Let me explain again. There are four possible teams that can get promoted, true. However, Albion only have to play against 2 teams not 3. So we will be 1 of 3. Even the way you describe still adds up to 1 in 4…. We have to beat two teams, that much is true. We have a 50/50 chance of getting past the first team  0.5, then another 50/50 or 0.5 chance of winning the final. 0.5 x 0.5 is 0.25 or 1 in 4.
Can't be arsed reading all this but as a maths expert, 50% + 50% = 25% in these terms.
04242024, 11:59 PM
If we are in the same league next season, Carlos could be tempted by a prem team.
04252024, 01:15 AM
Fug me. You need a calculator to post on this dump these days.

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