03-09-2021, 09:30 PM
(03-09-2021, 09:14 PM)Baggie_Nick Wrote:(03-09-2021, 09:01 PM)richbaggie Wrote:(03-09-2021, 07:55 PM)Baggie_Nick Wrote:Make it a 100 and you're on.(03-09-2021, 06:24 PM)richbaggie Wrote:(03-09-2021, 01:06 PM)baggy1 Wrote: Week 8 figures for E&W to the 26th Feb are out this morning and show that excess deaths are nearly back down to normal. 12,614 deaths for the week are nearly down to normal levels and are just over 1k more than the 5YA. This does push the excess deaths for the 49 weeks to date to just short of 113k (this doesn't include Scotland or NI btw) of which 43k have been since the start of December. Hopefully with 4 weeks to go until the 12 months since excess deaths 1st appeared we won't see too many more and if the trend continues we should be showing normal death rates for this time of year by next week.
With over 22M people now having received the 1st dose and over 1M having had their second dose I really am hopeful that we are seeing the end of this nightmare. It really is worth holding the line for a few more weeks / months to make sure the steps we take are working along with the vaccinations but evidence shows that things are looking good so far.
Still positive
Incredible testing numbers today at 1.5m but the week on week positives still dropped. O.38% positive rate.
I see Chris Whittys words today are being selectively reported on by doom mongers.
Whitty is right.
Not doom mongering at all. He's reporting on the basis of opening up. Anyone thinking that June the 21st is open day is deluded.
We'll be in another lockdown within a year, I'll have a tenner with anyone.
He wasn't suggesting a lockdown would be needed. That's where the misreporting is happening. He is suggesting that we will get a surge of infections but we should be in a better position to handle it with vaccines in place for hospitalisations to be less of an issue. Covid isn't going away.
Vaccines aren't perfect. And they're only resistant to know strains. Plus we're all basing our freedom on near perfect uptakes which we won't get. How about immunity and how long it lasts? No one knows for sure.
I think we'll have a similar summer this year to last year and when it gets colder again Covid, being a respiratory condition that will thrive will put us into another lockdown. I don't think it will be of the magnitude of this one but it'll still be another lockdown. It may not even be national but Sandwell will be locked down again before March 2022. Guaranteed.
Beep beep beep